The Liberals end up at 2.5 percent in the Statistics Sweden survey, which is well below the parliamentary threshold. This also means that the three red-green parties – S, V and MP – would secure a majority in the Riksdag on their own.
“It is obvious that voters want a majority that solves their everyday problems, ensures people can afford their rent, that there is food on the table, and a welfare system that works – instead of the tax cuts that the Tidö government stands for,” says V’s party secretary Maria Forsberg.
The Moderates instead want to warn about what the survey shows.
“If there were an election today, Sweden would wake up to the shock of the Left Party and the Green Party in government,” says M’s party secretary Karin Enström at a press conference.
M: “Bluffing”
The difference between the blocs is 12.6 percentage points. The opposition collects 55.2 percent of the votes, compared to Tidösidan’s 42.6. Compared to the 2022 election, all government parties, including SD, are losing voters, according to Statistics Sweden.
However, M points out that there is a fairly large proportion of undecided voters in the survey. At the press conference, the Red-Greens are also accused of a number of “bluffs” during the election campaign.
“They spread these smoke screens that we have cut welfare. If you look at the figures, it is true that every year we have been in government, healthcare has received more money,” Enström claims.
L’s party secretary Fredrik Brange calls the SCB survey a “snapshot” and emphasizes that L often increases in the final sprint.
TT: The race isn’t over yet?
“The election will be decided on election day,” he says.
S increases by 3.6 percentage points compared to the 2022 election, and picks up voters from both the government parties and C. Most are taken from M, 1.2 percentage points, according to Statistics Sweden.
Party secretary Tobias Baudin believes that the survey is a rejection of the Tidö parties’ four years in power.
“This will be a brutal failure for the government and Ulf Kristersson as prime minister,” says Baudin.
Loses to S
SD loses 2.2 percentage points compared to the election. Party secretary Mattias Bäckström Johansson is still satisfied.
“We are satisfied with 18.3, which is more than we had in the 2022 election campaign,” he says.
C takes the numbers in the survey as evidence that his own party will be “the most important thing in the election campaign”.
“It is only through a strong Center Party that we can avoid Swedish politics moving to the left,” says party secretary Hannes Hervieu, about S, V and MP getting their own majority.
Social Democrats: 33.9 percent
Sweden Democrats: 18.3 percent
The Moderates: 17.3 percent
Left Party: 8.6 percent
Green Party: 6.6 percent
Center Party: 6.1 percent
Christian Democrats: 4.5 percent
Liberals: 2.5 percent
Other parties: 2.0 percent
The proportion of undecided voters is 19.6 percent.
The party sympathy survey is published every year in May and shows what voters would vote for if there were an election then.
Source: Statistics Sweden
The survey was conducted between April 28 and May 28.
The sample included 9,260 randomly selected people eligible to vote. The response rate is 49 percent.
The responses were collected both through telephone interviews and online surveys.
SCB’s party sympathy survey is divided into two parts. In Thursday’s survey, the question was: “Which party would you vote for if there were parliamentary elections in the next few days?”
The second part of the survey will be published on June 10, when the questions will be more focused on party sympathies.
