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    Home EUROPE Iceland

    Inside and out: “Surveys are now just surveys”

    The Analyst by The Analyst
    April 25, 2026
    in Iceland
    Inside and out: “Surveys are now just surveys”


    Vísis’s election forecast was updated today with the results of Maskina’s latest survey that was published yesterday. It states, among other things, that the seventh person of the Independence Party now has a greater chance of getting into the city council than the sixth person of Samfylking.

    Silja Sóley peace

    Thus, the main change in the updated forecast is that Silja Sóley Birgisdóttir, leader of the Socialist Party, now for the first time has more than half the probability of entering the city council, but the probability is now 62 percent, compared to 25 percent at the beginning of the week. Silja Sóley is satisfied with this news.

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    “I just find it very satisfying and nice to see that the following is growing, that we are starting to attract a little attention and that our issues are getting a resonance in society.”

    Guðmundur and Einar Brattir

    Meanwhile, the probability that Guðmundur Ingi Þóroddsson, leader of the People’s Party, will get in has decreased since the beginning of the week, when it was 57 percent, but is now only 42 percent. Guðmundur says the election is still a long way off.

    “We’re just very steep, full of energy and we still have a lot to work on, as it’s always been the case with the People’s Party that they deliver more from the boxes than the polls have shown, so I think that when it starts to wear off, we just have to rush up.”

    Einar Þorsteinsson is the head of the Progressive Party in similar cases, but the probability that he will get in has decreased since the beginning of the week, and is now 59 percent from 67 percent.

    “Polls are now just polls and it is sometimes said that a week is a long time in politics and now there are three long weeks ahead until election day and I am convinced that we in Framsørk have a lot more in us, my conversations with the citizens now in the past days and weeks show that and I just have full faith in the project because it is quite clear that the majority will not fall unless Framsørk achieves better results.”



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