The current Cuban reality does not allow any more delays or rhetorical makeup. We find ourselves facing a systemic crisis that has transcended the economic to settle at the very heart of the nation’s sociopolitical architecture. The current model is not only sold out; It is incapable of guaranteeing the effectiveness, minimum well-being and, fundamentally, the very viability of the State. Faced with a scenario where total collapse will not distinguish ideologies, from the Center for Studies on the Rule of Law “Cuba Próxima”, we present a strategic route to break castling: The agreed opening: A roadmap for the reconstruction of Cuba.
This initiative is not a catalog of wishes, but a concerted institutional transition strategy, designed to facilitate a peaceful, sovereign and staged exit. Inspired by political realism, we propose a solution that prioritizes the survival of the nation over the perpetuation of a sterile conflict. The “agreed opening” rests on a fundamental conviction: national reconstruction cannot be the result of an external imposition or a chaotic collapse that results in anomie. It must be a deliberate, agreed process and with full guarantees for all those involved.
This is not a free concession, but a route based on reciprocal and verifiable steps. The reconstruction is articulated in two simultaneous axes: an internal Sovereign Multi-Actor Dialogue and a Strategic Normalization with the international community. This second axis requires a pragmatic redesign of the relationship with the United States, based on a conditioned graduality where the lifting of sanctions responds, symmetrically and under the principle of self-determination, to verifiable milestones of internal democratization.
We understand that fear of change is the main asset of authoritarianism. Therefore, our proposal advocates a negotiation for the future that replaces uncertainty with legal certainty. We propose the creation of a National Political Negotiation Table made up of current government officials willing to reform, representatives of civil society, the opposition and the diaspora – the latter as an indissoluble part of the political body and engine of national renaissance.
The objective is to establish a Coexistence Framework that outlaws revenge, prioritizes transitional justice and provides guarantees of institutional exit. This framework will ensure the integrity of all actors, including public officials and military establishments, laying the foundations for the transition.
To build trust, the Roundtable will promote an immediate detente based on two non-negotiable pillars: the release of political prisoners and an Amnesty and Decriminalization of Dissent Law. Simultaneously, an independent Constitutional Guarantees Chamber will be institutionalized to protect human rights and shield citizens from arbitrariness.
Once dialogue is established, the absolute priority will be social well-being. This will be articulated through a comprehensive economic reform that unleashes private initiative, a depoliticized Humanitarian Shock Plan for food security and the supply of medicines, as well as an emergency energy rescue under external technical supervision.
Likewise, the process will manage a Provisional Electoral Law that guarantees free and competitive elections in a context that is not yet democratic, ensuring the openness of institutions to citizen plurality. With an eye toward these elections, Cuba Próxima will promote a transition agenda based on the following pillars:
- Establishment of a democratic, provisional and consensus constitutional frameworkwhich functions as a “shield of guarantees” for human rights. This structure will ensure the separation of powers and the institutional stability necessary to avoid power vacuums during the transition.
- Promotion of emergency laws and socioeconomic rescue that prioritize family consumption and the promotion of investment. This legal framework It will establish an indissoluble link between the protection of fundamental rights and a tangible economic recovery.
- Consolidation of legal security to create an ecosystem capable of attracting back talent and capital, transforming political confrontation into a joint effort towards development.
- Promulgation of a Law of the Constituent Process and call for a Constituent Assembly audited by international organizations, thus guaranteeing transparency and absolute respect for the sovereign will.
- Approval of the legal framework for the constitutional transition and calling for general elections, thus consolidating the full return of sovereignty to the Cuban people.
This itinerary makes it possible to transform the crisis into an opportunity for real sovereignty. The security of the nation can no longer be based on exclusion, but on the solidity of an inclusive social pact. The “agreed opening” summons the rational sectors of power, the brave opposition and an exhausted citizenry. Rebuilding the country is possible if we have the audacity to recognize the adversary as an interlocutor. It is time to move from a nation in suspense to a nation on the march; The roadmap has been drawn and following it is our historical responsibility.
