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    Home CARICOM CARICOM English Trinidad and Tobago

    War risk insurance and the hidden cost of global conflict

    The Analyst by The Analyst
    April 12, 2026
    in Trinidad and Tobago


    Cherie Gopie

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    When com­mer­cial ves­sels re­cent­ly be­gan di­vert­ing thou­sands of miles around the Cape of Good Hope to avoid at­tacks in the Red Sea, the world was re­mind­ed how frag­ile glob­al ship­ping routes can be.

    Each di­ver­sion added weeks to voy­ages and hun­dreds of thou­sands of dol­lars in fu­el and op­er­a­tional costs.

    An­oth­er cost was ris­ing qui­et­ly in the back­ground: war risk in­sur­ance pre­mi­ums.

    This spe­cialised form of in­sur­ance rarely re­ceives pub­lic at­ten­tion, yet it plays a cru­cial role in de­ter­min­ing whether ships con­tin­ue to sail through volatile re­gions or whether trade routes be­come com­mer­cial­ly un­vi­able.

    For a coun­try like T&T, whose econ­o­my par­tial­ly re­lies on mar­itime trans­port, de­vel­op­ments such as these are more rel­e­vant than they may ini­tial­ly ap­pear.

    What is war risk in­sur­ance?

    Stan­dard ma­rine in­sur­ance poli­cies typ­i­cal­ly ex­clude loss­es caused by war, ter­ror­ism, or civ­il un­rest. The po­ten­tial scale and un­pre­dictabil­i­ty of such events make them too risky for con­ven­tion­al in­sur­ance cov­er­age. War risk in­sur­ance fills that gap.

    It pro­vides spe­cialised cov­er for loss­es aris­ing from hos­tile acts, in­clud­ing dam­age to ves­sels from mis­siles, mines, or mil­i­tary ac­tiv­i­ty, seizure or de­ten­tion of ships, pira­cy or po­lit­i­cal­ly mo­ti­vat­ed vi­o­lence, acts of ter­ror­ism or sab­o­tage, dam­age to car­go aris­ing from such events. With­out this type of cov­er­age, shipown­ers and car­go in­ter­ests would of­ten be un­will­ing or un­able to op­er­ate in ar­eas ex­posed to geopo­lit­i­cal risk.

    In prac­tice, war risk in­sur­ance gen­er­al­ly takes two prin­ci­pal forms. Hull war risk in­sur­ance pro­tects the ves­sel it­self against dam­age or loss caused by hos­tile acts or state ac­tion.

    Car­go war risk in­sur­ance pro­tects the goods be­ing trans­port­ed if they are dam­aged or lost as a re­sult of con­flict-re­lat­ed events. These poli­cies op­er­ate along­side stan­dard ma­rine in­sur­ance but re­spond specif­i­cal­ly to risks that con­ven­tion­al poli­cies ex­clude.

    Re­cent con­flicts are re­shap­ing mar­itime risk

    The past two years have demon­strat­ed how quick­ly mar­itime risk could es­ca­late. At­tacks on com­mer­cial ves­sels in the Red Sea, par­tic­u­lar­ly those linked to the con­flict in Gaza, have forced many ship­ping com­pa­nies to avoid the Suez Canal route al­to­geth­er.

    Sev­er­al ves­sels have been struck by mis­siles or drones, prompt­ing in­sur­ers to dra­mat­i­cal­ly in­crease war risk pre­mi­ums for ships en­ter­ing the re­gion. Sim­i­lar­ly, ten­sions in the Strait of Hor­muz, through which a sig­nif­i­cant por­tion of the world’s oil sup­ply pass­es, have re­peat­ed­ly raised con­cerns about the safe­ty of com­mer­cial ship­ping.

    In pre­vi­ous in­ci­dents, ves­sels have been de­tained or seized, trig­ger­ing com­plex in­sur­ance claims and diplo­mat­ic dis­putes.

    These de­vel­op­ments have re­al eco­nom­ic con­se­quences.

    When an area be­comes un­sta­ble, in­sur­ers may des­ig­nate it as a high-risk or “list­ed” area. Ships en­ter­ing those re­gions must ob­tain ad­di­tion­al cov­er and pay sup­ple­men­tary pre­mi­ums.

    Those pre­mi­ums could rise sharply dur­ing pe­ri­ods of con­flict, some­times adding hun­dreds of thou­sands of dol­lars to the cost of a sin­gle voy­age.

    Ul­ti­mate­ly, those costs do not re­main con­fined to shipown­ers or in­sur­ers.

    They move through the glob­al sup­ply chain and even­tu­al­ly af­fect freight rates, en­er­gy prices, and the cost of goods.

    Why Caribbean busi­ness­es should care

    At first glance, con­flicts in the Mid­dle East or East­ern Eu­rope may seem re­mote from the Caribbean. Yet the re­al­i­ty is that T&T is deeply in­te­grat­ed in­to the glob­al mar­itime econ­o­my by the re­liance on ship­ping for ex­ports of liq­ue­fied nat­ur­al gas, petro­chem­i­cals and en­er­gy prod­ucts, im­ports of food, ma­chin­ery and con­sumer goods and re­gion­al con­tain­er trade link­ing the Caribbean to North Amer­i­ca, Eu­rope and Asia. When war risk pre­mi­ums in­crease in­ter­na­tion­al­ly, ship­ping costs rise ac­cord­ing­ly.

    Those in­creas­es could in­flu­ence freight rates, in­sur­ance costs, and ul­ti­mate­ly the price of goods en­ter­ing the Caribbean.

    In oth­er words, geopo­lit­i­cal ten­sions thou­sands of miles away can qui­et­ly af­fect the cost of do­ing busi­ness in T&T.

    The le­gal di­men­sion

    From a le­gal per­spec­tive, war risk events al­so raise com­plex is­sues in­volv­ing char­ter­par­ties, car­go claims and mar­itime li­a­bil­i­ty. Char­ter­ers and shipown­ers must con­sid­er con­trac­tu­al pro­vi­sions deal­ing with war risks claus­es, safe ports oblig­a­tions and de­vi­a­tion rights. A shipown­er may refuse to en­ter a dan­ger­ous area with­out ad­di­tion­al com­pen­sa­tion or in­sur­ance, while char­ter­ers may dis­pute whether a voy­age or­der ex­pos­es the ves­sel to un­ac­cept­able risk.

    In ex­treme sit­u­a­tions, dis­putes aris­ing from car­go loss, ves­sel de­ten­tion, or con­trac­tu­al breach­es may ul­ti­mate­ly lead to ad­mi­ral­ty pro­ceed­ings in the courts.

    Al­though T&T may not be lo­cat­ed near mod­ern con­flict zones, its courts and mar­itime le­gal frame­work re­main part of the wider glob­al sys­tem that re­solves such dis­putes.

    The in­vis­i­ble in­fra­struc­ture of glob­al trade

    It is im­por­tant to recog­nise that war risk in­sur­ance does not change the un­der­ly­ing con­se­quences of con­flict at sea.

    A ves­sel struck by a mis­sile, de­tained by state au­thor­i­ties, or dam­aged dur­ing hos­til­i­ties would still suf­fer the same op­er­a­tional and le­gal con­se­quences. In­sur­ance can­not pre­vent the loss or al­ter the out­come of such events. What it does is al­lo­cate the fi­nan­cial risk, al­low­ing shipown­ers, car­go in­ter­ests and in­sur­ers to ab­sorb the eco­nom­ic im­pact of geopo­lit­i­cal in­sta­bil­i­ty while trade con­tin­ues.

    An im­por­tant prac­ti­cal ques­tion is whether shipown­ers can sim­ply choose not to pur­chase war risk in­sur­ance. In the­o­ry, the cov­er is not al­ways legal­ly manda­to­ry.

    How­ev­er, in prac­tice, ves­sels op­er­at­ing in or near con­flict zones would al­most al­ways be re­quired to ob­tain war risk cov­er by their lenders, char­ter­ers or car­go in­ter­ests.

    A shipown­er who at­tempt­ed to sail with­out such cov­er would as­sume enor­mous fi­nan­cial ex­po­sure if the ves­sel were dam­aged, seized or de­stroyed.

    The cost of this in­sur­ance could be sub­stan­tial. When in­sur­ers des­ig­nate a re­gion as a high-risk area, ships en­ter­ing that zone must pay ad­di­tion­al pre­mi­ums cal­cu­lat­ed as a per­cent­age of the ves­sel’s val­ue. For large com­mer­cial ves­sels, these pre­mi­ums could reach hun­dreds of thou­sands of dol­lars for a sin­gle voy­age.

    Not every op­er­a­tor can ab­sorb such costs eas­i­ly. Small­er ship­ping com­pa­nies may find these pre­mi­ums par­tic­u­lar­ly bur­den­some, and in some cas­es op­er­a­tors may choose to reroute ves­sels or sus­pend voy­ages al­to­geth­er rather than in­cur the ad­di­tion­al ex­pense.

    Even when the in­sur­ance is pur­chased, the cost rarely re­mains with the shipown­er. In in­ter­na­tion­al ship­ping, ex­pens­es such as in­sur­ance, fu­el and se­cu­ri­ty mea­sures are typ­i­cal­ly in­cor­po­rat­ed in­to freight rates and ul­ti­mate­ly passed down the sup­ply chain.

    For con­sumers and busi­ness­es in T&T, this means that geopo­lit­i­cal con­flicts oc­cur­ring thou­sands of miles away could still have a tan­gi­ble im­pact. High­er war risk pre­mi­ums con­tribute to in­creased ship­ping costs, which may in turn af­fect the price of im­port­ed goods, en­er­gy trans­porta­tion and oth­er trad­ed com­modi­ties. War risk in­sur­ance there­fore, il­lus­trates a broad­er re­al­i­ty of the glob­al econ­o­my, al­though con­flict may oc­cur far from our shores, its fi­nan­cial con­se­quences could trav­el across oceans just as eas­i­ly as the ships that car­ry glob­al trade.

    Cherie Gopie is a Part­ner at M. Hamel-Smith & Co.

    She can be reached at mhs@trinidad­law.com.





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