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    Home EUROPE Estonia

    VLADIMIR JUSHKIN ⟩ Putin’s objective may not be conquest at all. In that case, the entire assessment of when Russia will attack a NATO country is wrong

    The Analyst by The Analyst
    April 24, 2026
    in Estonia
    VLADIMIR JUSHKIN ⟩ Putin’s objective may not be conquest at all. In that case, the entire assessment of when Russia will attack a NATO country is wrong


    A. Moscow is unable to achieve its goals in Ukraine either militarily or diplomatically (with Donald Trump’s help).

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    B. The US has found itself in a situation where its European allies are unwilling to assist it in the Strait of Hormuz.

    C. Russian Z-bloggers, who have traditionally supported the Russian authorities, have begun, in the fifth year of the Russo-Ukrainian war, to criticize the conduct of the war, the blocking of Telegram, and the culling of livestock in Siberia. Some are even calling on Russians to “prepare for a new revolution.” For those who may have forgotten, let us recall that the precondition for the February Revolution of 1917 was bread lines and bread shortages in Petrograd.

    Sociologist Igor Eidman writes: “Their dissatisfaction with the situation is indeed very worrying, because armed people are much more dangerous than Moscow students or members of the middle class. Their discontent stems from the fact that, for them, Putin is not strong enough, not cruel enough, not energetic or active enough. These people are real fascists.

    But fascists must have their own Führer, a person who charges them with energy and leads them to war, like Hitler and Mussolini, who possessed a certain charisma. Putin clearly falls short here; he is unable to fulfill the role of Führer of a nation at war. He is lazy, hedonistic, neither brilliant nor charismatic, but rather quite cowardly, which is why he does not take the steps that the Z‑war correspondents demand of him.”



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