By Carlos Ernesto Rodríguez Etcheverry
Cuban Ambassador to St. Vincent and the Grenadines
On January 29, 2026, the U.S. government under President Donald Trump formalized a new phase in its policy toward Cuba, invoking emergency authorities to classify the island as an “extraordinary threat” to American national security. This designation opened the door to a set of measures that, while not explicitly banning U.S. fuel sales, have effectively constrained Cuba’s access to energy through indirect but powerful means.
Rather than targeting bilateral trade alone, the policy exerts pressure on third countries, warning of economic consequences—including tariffs and restricted market access—if they continue supplying oil to Cuba. This approach has reshaped the landscape of energy trade around the island, discouraging suppliers and tightening the flow of essential resources.
Restriction without declaration
Though not formally labeled a blockade, the practical effect resembles one and beyond: it could be classified as an act of war. Shipping routes are increasingly scrutinized, transactions are discouraged, and traditional partners are forced into difficult calculations: maintain energy ties with Cuba or safeguard economic relations with the United States.
This is not merely a regulatory shift. It represents a calculated effort to limit Cuba’s access to fuel, a resource that underpins virtually every sector of modern life.
Everyday life under strain
The consequences have unfolded quickly and with tangible severity. Cuba’s reliance on imported fuel makes it particularly vulnerable, and as supplies diminish, the strain is visible across the country.
Electricity shortages have intensified, leading to widespread outages that disrupt households and critical infrastructure alike. Public transportation has become less reliable, affecting workers, students, and commerce. Agricultural production and food distribution are hampered by fuel scarcity, while hospitals and clinics face mounting pressure to maintain essential services. Cubans are literally dying because of this nonsense, illegal and criminal unilateral sanctions.
The burden falls most heavily on ordinary citizens, raising concerns among international observers who argue that such measures disproportionately impact the population rather than decision-makers.
Fuel scarcity does not remain confined to the energy sector—it reverberates throughout the economy. Limited availability constrains industrial activity, slows tourism recovery, and complicates internal trade. Rising transportation costs feed inflation, while supply chain disruptions reduce access to basic goods.
In this context, energy shortages translate directly into economic stagnation. Without consistent fuel supplies, growth becomes difficult, and recovery efforts are undermined.
Questioning the rationale
The central justification offered by Washington—that Cuba poses a threat to U.S. national security—has been widely debated. Given the stark imbalance in size, economic strength, and military capacity, many analysts find the claim difficult to substantiate.
International voices, including experts within multilateral institutions, have expressed skepticism, suggesting that the designation serves more as a legal mechanism to enable extraordinary measures than as a reflection of an actual security risk.
The main goal therefore is to create a pretext that can be used to further launch an eventual military operation on Cuba.
Strategy of pressure
Seen in a broader context, the policy aligns with a long-standing strategy of applying economic pressure to influence political outcomes in Cuba. By constraining access to fuel, the measures aim to intensify internal difficulties, with the expectation that hardship may translate into political change.
This approach, however, carries inherent risks. History suggests that external pressure often deepens internal challenges without necessarily achieving its intended objectives, while increasing the human cost.
Legal and ethical considerations
The use of economic tools with far-reaching humanitarian consequences raises complex questions. When restrictions on fuel affect healthcare systems, food supply chains, and basic services, the distinction between policy and harm becomes increasingly blurred.
Critics argue that such measures, particularly when applied extraterritorially, challenge established norms of international conduct and may conflict with principles designed to protect civilian populations.
Final reflections
What is unfolding is more than a diplomatic dispute. It is a policy with direct and profound implications for daily life in Cuba. Framed as a matter of security, it functions in practice as a mechanism of economic constraint with wide social repercussions.
If the stated aim is to encourage stability or reform, the current trajectory raises doubts about whether increased hardship can realistically lead to constructive outcomes.
There is little ambiguity about the pressure being applied. The more pressing question is who ultimately absorbs its weight—and at what cost.
What is a brutal truth is that, although Cuba is a peaceful country and does not want any direct armed confrontation, it is willing to resist and reject any military action against its sovereign territory.
