In fact, Sanna is the only leader that more people trust than bad, according to a new Maskin survey conducted for Sýn og Vísi. You can access the survey here at the bottom of the news.
The second most popular leader is Hildur Björnsdóttir of the Independence Party, who enjoys the trust of 30 percent of Reykvíkians, and Pétur Marteinsson of the Samfylking is next with 28 percent. Björg Magnúsdóttir from Viðreisn enjoys the trust of about a quarter of voters and Silja Sóley from Sósíalist about a fifth.
Then follow Einar Þorsteinsson from Framsøkn and Kristinn Jón Ólafsson from Pírätum, both of whom enjoy the trust of over 18 percent of voters, and then Ari Edwald with almost 13 percent.
Guðmundur Ingi Þóroddsson from Flokk fólkosins, Ingimar Þór Friðriksson from Góður degyrum and finally Sigfús Aðalsteinsson from Okkar borg all enjoy good trust from less than 10 percent of voters.
“All leaders can be happy that there is a higher percentage who trust them well than say they are going to vote with the party,” said Ólafur Þ. Harðarson, political scientist and election speculator, was featured on Sýnar’s evening news tonight.
When asked who the voters distrusted, it was almost as if the column was reversed, with 78 percent of respondents saying they have little trust in Sigfús at Okkar borg.
Difficult to exclude the Confederation from the majority
On the other hand, what Ólafi finds most interesting in the survey is looking at how the voters of individual parties trust the leaders of other parties, as this could project a clearer picture of possible majorities.
“There were two things that struck me,” says Ólafur.
“In this we see very clearly that there is a cold breath between the voters of Viðreisn and the Central Party; 71 percent of the voters of the Central Party have little trust in Bjargar and a full 85 percent of the voters of Viðreisn have little trust in Ara.”
Many have indicated that in opinion polls in the last few months that Viðreisn could end up in a key position after the elections and either form a majority on the left (such as in a majority with Samfylking, Vinstrina and other left parties) or on the right (for example with the Center Party and the Independence Party).
Maskina’s latest follow-up survey can be seen below, but these measurements are from April 17 to 24, and 973 respondents took a stand on a party.
But with regard to this result, it is difficult to imagine a majority partnership with the Central Party and Viðreisn, in Ólaf’s opinion.
But don’t they need each other?
“If there should be a clear majority that excluded the Confederation, there is every chance that the Center Party will have to be included, but it is Viðreisn that has to choose who it wants to work with.
On the other hand, there is a difference between Samfylking voters and Viðreisnar voters according to the survey. Only 21 percent of Samfylking voters have little confidence in Bjargar and 12 percent of Viðreisn voters have little confidence in Pétur.
Differences between neighborhoods and even gender
Many other interesting things can be dissected from the survey, among other things with regard to place of residence and gender.
Sanna is the most popular of all councilors in Miðborg/Vesturbær (45.5 percent), Hlíður/Laugardal, Háaleiti and Bústaðir (41.5 percent) and Breiðholt/Árbær (38.9 percent).
Hildur Björnsdóttir is by far the most popular in Grafarvogur/Grafarholt and Úlfarsárdal/Kjalarnes (46 percent), followed by Einar Þorsteinsson (25 percent).
There is rarely a big difference between the sexes in terms of trust in the headman in this survey, except in the case of Ara Edwald, but about 17.4 percent of men in Reykjavík say they trust him well, but only about 6.2 percent of women.
Those who want to take a closer look at the survey can view the data below.
