If parliamentary elections were held now, the current government coalition would not form a new government.
This is according to a survey by Ixactly for Television Markíza. Smer would remain the strongest party with 19.5 percent.
Smer is followed by Progressive Slovakia with 18 percent. The non-parliamentary Republic would finish third with the support of 11.6 percent. The Slovakia Movement would gain 9.1 percent. According to the survey, the Voice party lost approximately half of the voters compared to the parliamentary elections and would have reached 8.6 percent.
According to the Smer survey, even a connection with the Republic would not be enough to create a majority.
SaS (6.7 percent), KDH (6.4) and non-parliamentary Democrats (6.3) would receive similar support from voters. On the other hand, the SNS would remain at the gates of the parliament with four percent.
“There is a peloton of democratic parties that have been above five percent for a long time, but are still in the danger zone. These parties are fishing in the same pond,” Jakub Minárik from Ixactly commented on the survey for television.
According to the estimated distribution of mandates, the post-election negotiations would probably center around the two strongest parties – Smer and Progressive Slovakia. However, Smer would not be able to bring down the government. Even a possible alliance with the Republic would not be enough for him to get a majority, he would need seven more MPs for the narrowest majority. The opposition would bring down the government only with Igor Matovič’s movement.
