Backstage information that will shake millions of retirees! ‘Forget about the raise in July’

As July approaches, the rate of increase in pensions has begun to become clear. While the 10.04% increase was confirmed with the March data, Social Security Expert İsa Karakaş shared the “hope-shattering” development coming from the Ankara backstage.

Are the welfare share and linear increase expectations being shelved due to global uncertainties and budget discipline? Here are the details…

The cost burden of rising oil and energy prices due to the effects of global war will be fully revealed for the first time with this data. Karakaş stated that the April inflation data, which will be announced on Monday, May 4, 2026, is quite critical.

3-MONTH INCREASE HAS BECOME CLEAR WITH MARCH INFLATION

According to the data announced by TÜİK, the cumulative increase that will be reflected in pensions as of March will be as follows:

Month / Year | CPI (Annual % Change) | CPI (Monthly % Change)

01-2026 | 31.53 | 2.96

02-2026 | 30.65 | 4.84

03-2026 | 30.87 | 1.94

Karakaş stated, “When the March data is added to the 7.95% increase, which is the sum of January and February, the cumulative inflation reached the level of 10.04%. As of today, an update of 10.04% in the salary of every SSK and Bağ-Kur retiree has been finalized.”

Karakaş said, “The real conundrum is the fate of the “lowest pension” practice. Discourses that the government will end this practice and support only those in need of social assistance carry the risk of fixing millions of retirees at the 20,000 TL limit.”

Moreover, with limited time left before the election, will the government be able to take this risk? Even if they can afford it, how will support be given to the lowest-income retirees? “There is no clear study on this issue yet,” he said.

RETIREMENT’S HOPE HAS BEEN DISAPPEARED

The expert gave the bad news by saying, “Unfortunately, I say from Ankara backstage… Uncertainties brought about by the war and budget discipline reasons are put forward. Apart from the update that must be given in accordance with the law we mentioned above, there is no additional improvement on the horizon for now.”

IS SEYYANEN’S RAISE OR WELFARE SHARE ON THE TABLE?

Stating that the possibility of a rolling raise or welfare share is a remote possibility in Ankara for now, Karakaş said, “I maintain my belief that the government will hear the voices of nearly 17 million retirees and beneficiaries and implement the formulas “Adjustment, full reflection of national income increases on pensions, rolling raise…”, which are essential for the improvement of the system, with the 2027 vision.”