to report Jam Jam Online From the club of young journalists, the opportunity is over; On the 11th of May, the 60-day deadline for the US military operation against Iran ended, and today Donald Trump is on the threshold of one of the most sensitive decisions of his presidency. Trump who did not think that he would need 60 days or more to determine the status of Iran and according to himself, the work will be completed in three or four days!
According to experts, Iran and America are caught in an erosion deadlock today; Tehran is trying to turn the Strait of Hormuz into a bargaining lever to lift the blockade and abandon the nuclear issue, while Trump has turned to a long-term blockade instead of a quick victory; This path increases economic pressure on Iran, but also increases energy costs and political pressure in America. The American should be smart enough to know that the economic embargo and embargo, at least on Iran and the Iranian community, doesn’t have the effect it should and maybe it would have shown its effect in these 47 years.
Trump’s fumbling to escape the swamp of Iran war
Just last week, American officials told the Wall Street Journal that Donald Trump had ordered his aides to prepare for a “long-term blockade” against Iran. These officials have explained that Trump intends to put pressure on the resources of the Iranian regime. According to this newspaper, Trump’s decision is a new stage in the war between the United States and Israel against Iran and reveals the fact that the American president, who was always looking for a “quick and guaranteed victory”, lacks a solution to this crisis and is practically in complete despair.
A clear example of this desperation are these two lines; Al Jazeera reported yesterday, Saturday, that after the US announced the blockade of Iranian ports, 81 ships violated the order of US President Donald Trump by passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The analysis of the marine information database “Marine Traffic” shows that 53 of the ships that broke the blockade were either coming from or going to Iranian ports or carrying the Iranian flag. This means that Donald Trump lost both the war, the economic blockade and his European and Asian allies.
The evidence shows that Trump has come to the conclusion that options such as resuming airstrikes or unilaterally withdrawing from the war, compared to continuing the blockade, entail more risks. However, the continuation of the blockade means the prolongation of the conflict; A conflict that has led to an increase in fuel prices, a decrease in Trump’s popularity in the polls and a more difficult victory for the Republicans in the mid-term elections; But the important point for Iran is that Trump did not succeed even one percent in the war with Iran; He was only able to bring the leader of the nation to martyrdom, which actually fulfilled the wish of our martyred leader; Indeed, it was a pity that a man who had fought against American extravagance for 70 years, gave up on the bed of his life.
Today, Trump officially abandoned the war; The attempt of the American republican president is to influence the American public opinion; That is in a situation where his government has faced criticism due to the way he managed this war and its consequences, and his popularity has decreased at the moment. This issue is raised in the shadow of the concern of the Republican Party and its leaders; The concern that this war and its results will negatively affect their chances against the Democrats in the mid-term elections in November; The Iran war will officially remove Trump and the Republicans from the world of politics in the United States, and today Trump is focusing on recreating the votes of his voters, voters who have reached almost half, and Trump is trying to bring them along with him every day with a new lie.
Polls have shown that the level of support for this war does not exceed 34%. This drop in support has increased pressure on lawmakers, especially Republicans; Some of them have recently expressed their opposition to continuing operations without official permission.
As the elections are approaching, the position of the members of Congress has become more cautious; Because many of them are worried about the reaction of the voters if they support an unpopular war. We said all this to prove that Trump, who is intoxicated by the victory of Venezuela, is stuck in Iran’s swamp today and is going lower every moment.
Elizabeth Warren, a Democratic senator and one of the prominent figures of the Democratic Party, also made harsh statements about the Iran war, saying that Trump has trapped himself in a corner and cannot find a way out. Before the war, the Strait of Hormuz was open and everything was going well. Now everything is closed. Trump is trying to return us to the pre-war situation! Trump said he is ready to resume bombing; The best alternative is to get out. Warren emphasized that the House of Representatives is not fulfilling its constitutional responsibility; I want Congress to step up and say no to Trump.
With the talks deadlocked, some analysts have predicted that the war could turn into a “frozen conflict” or Cold War, with no permanent solution. This can prevent the significant reduction of American forces in the Middle East.
The United States is now paying new strategic costs; Including the gap with the traditional European allies who were not consulted before the start of the war. Trump sharply criticized NATO partners for not sending naval forces to reopen the strait, and last week he spoke about the possibility of reducing forces in Germany, Spain and Italy.
The point that all experts and politicians in the world agree on, both friends and enemies, is that by starting an unnecessary war, Trump has stuck himself in a situation with no way out; Before the war, the Strait of Hormuz was open and everything was normal, but today everything is closed. The best way is to get out of this swamp; But the solution to this exit is missing and Trump is banging himself against the door and the wall to find it, an event that may end up at the cost of losing his political power.
