The return to Venezuela of opposition leader María Corina Machado He raised his presidential voting intention to 70.1%, according to the most recent survey by the Meganalisis firm. The study, carried out between October 26 and November 1 on a sample of 1,007 people, shows a strong advantage of the leader over the rest of the political spectrum, in a scenario where 80.2% of the population demands the urgent calling of presidential elections.
The report highlights that the demand for a presidential electoral process far exceeds other political demands, such as the renewal of the governorships (8.2%) or the National Assembly (5.5%). 88.1% of citizens self-identified as opponents consider it unnecessary to hold new primaries, by validating the consensus around Machado’s candidacy.
“MCM’s return to Venezuela boosted her voting intention by +9.5 percentage points, consolidating her as the political figure with the greatest convening power in the country. In a presidential scenario, the candidate capitalizes on up to 70.1% of the electoral support, vastly surpassing her closest competitor, who does not reach double digits,” states the Meganalisis technical file.
Collapse in Trump’s approval and decline of Chavismo
In the international and political evaluation sphere, the study registers a collapse in the evaluation of US President Donald Trump in Venezuela: his approval fell 6.1%, compared to 84.3% of disapproval and distrust.
“Between January and October 2026, President Trump’s approval in Venezuela plummeted from 92.2% to 6.1%. This drop responds to ten months of keeping the Chavista regime in power, the perception of complacency towards Delcy Rodríguez, the socioeconomic deterioration of the lives of Venezuelans, and a transactionally oriented diplomatic approach to the oil sector,” details the pollster’s analysis.
Self-identification with Chavismo decreased by 4.9%, while 79.2% of those surveyed defined themselves as opponents. Additionally, 88.3% of those consulted maintain that the country will not achieve effective economic recovery as long as Chavismo remains in power.
Worsening of the electricity crisis and economic balance
The Meganalisis study It also exposes the deterioration of public services and the family economy:
- Recurring electrical outages: 87.6% of homes experience power outages four or more days a week.
- Prolonged failures: 79.6% of the population suffers continuous outages lasting more than three hours.
- Rejection of state management: 91.2% rate Corpoelec’s management negatively, while 91.7% support the liquidation of the public company to make way for private operators.
- Impact on homes: 82.1% of those consulted negatively evaluate the current economic situation of their family nucleus due to inflation and loss of purchasing power.
