Civic Platform (KO) remains the leader in the latest CBOS poll; however, the results may be troubling for Donald Tusk in the context of the 2027 parliamentary elections. If the vote were held today, none of the other parties currently forming the governing coalition would cross the electoral threshold, making it impossible for KO to retain power for another term.
According to the survey conducted in the first half of June, 28.5 percent of respondents would vote for Civic Platform (KO). This represents a decrease of 2.3 percentage points compared to the previous CBOS poll.
Second place was taken by Law and Justice (PiS) with 22.1 percent support, improving its result by 2.5 percentage points.
Third place went to Confederation, indicated by 12.8 percent of respondents, marking a decrease of 2.5 percentage points. Just outside the podium was Confederation of the Polish Crown with 9.4 percent support.
Tusk’s coalition partners outside parliament
The biggest problem for the ruling camp, however, lies beyond Civic Platform (KO) itself. All other parties currently forming the governing majority fell below the electoral threshold. New Left received 3.9 percent support, Razem Party 4 percent (it is not part of the coalition), Polish People’s Party 1.5 percent, and Polska 2050 Party – 1.3 percent.
This means that if such a result were repeated in parliamentary elections, Civic Platform (KO) could become the only representative of the current governing camp in the Sejm. Even maintaining first place would not automatically translate into the ability to form another government, as without coalition partners securing a majority of 231 seats would be outright impossible.
The CBOS survey was conducted between June 8 and 10, 2026, using CATI telephone interviews (80 percent) and CAWI online interviews (20 percent) on a representative sample of 1,000 adult residents of Poland. The declared turnout stood at 76.6 percent.
